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Binomial Distribution 🪙

The Binomial Distribution is a discrete probability distribution used when there are exactly two possible outcomes for each trial: Success or Failure. It was discovered by James Bernoulli (hence also called Bernoulli Distribution).


Conditions (Assumptions) 📝

  1. Finite Trials: The number of trials (n) is finite and fixed.
  2. Two Outcomes: Every trial results in either Success (p) or Failure (q).
  3. Independent Trials: The outcome of one trial does not affect another.
  4. Constant Probability: The probability of success (p) remains constant in every trial.

[!NOTE] Relationship: p + q = 1 or q = 1 - p.


The Probability Mass Function (PMF) 📐

The probability of getting exactly r successes in n trials is given by:

P(r) = nCr * p^r * q^(n-r)

Where:

  • n = Total number of trials
  • r = Number of successes required
  • p = Probability of success in one trial
  • q = Probability of failure (1-p)
  • nCr = Number of ways to select r successes from n trials.

Example

Tossing a coin 3 times. Find probability of getting exactly 2 Heads.

  • n = 3
  • r = 2
  • p = 0.5 (Head)
  • q = 0.5 (Tail)

P(2) = 3C2 * (0.5)^2 * (0.5)^(3-2) P(2) = 3 * 0.25 * 0.5 = 0.375


Shape 📉

  • Symmetrical: If p = q = 0.5.
  • Skewed Right: If p < 0.5.
  • Skewed Left: If p > 0.5.

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